There is an “expectation” that decrease in health and social care could be possibly linked to thousands of “excess deaths”, a new study suggests.
In 2015 there was an “unexpected” increase in mortality rate in England and Wales and the main reason behind the hike could be the “unexplained cuts” to health and social care funds, which was reported in two articles published in the Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine.
Scientists from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, University of Oxford and Blackburn with Darwen Borough Council claim without “urgent involvement” the hike in mortality rate could go on increasing.
In one paper researchers wrote that: “The long-term decrease in mortality in England and Wales has overturned, with about 30,000 excess deaths in comparison to the estimated count.”
To investigate this process the academics has proposed four hypotheses in a separate paper. These enclosed; possible problems with the data, whether there was an “environmental cause” like war or natural disaster, whether there was an outbreak of the epidemic or whether there was “general failure of the health and social care system”.
Researchers said that in January 2015 all markers for NHS performance “became worse markedly”.
- Ambulance calls out times being lower than the target.
- No increase in A&E attendances but waiting time increased.
- Waiting times for diagnostic tests and consultant-led care doubled.
Co-author Professor Danny Dorling, from the University of Oxford, said: “It may sound true that more elderly people will have died earlier due to government cutbacks, but to date, the number of deaths has not been calculated and the government has not taken the responsibility.”
A spokesperson for the Department of Health in England told: “This report is more personal bias over research for two basic reasons. Every year there is great variation in reported excess deaths, and in the year following this research, they fell by nearly 20,000, disobeying any linkup between the pressure on the NHS and the mortality rate.”